049概率困难数值题medium
Mystery Coin Identification
题目
A box contains three coins, each equally likely to be selected:
- Coin F (fair):
- Coin H (heads-biased):
- Coin T (tails-biased):
You pick one coin uniformly at random and flip it three times, obtaining the sequence H, T, H (flips are conditionally independent given the coin).
(a) Find the posterior probability that the coin is each type.
(b) What is the conditional probability that the fourth flip is heads?
解题计时
0:00
提交作答时记录,用于后续平均用时统计。
你的答案
(a) Posterior probability for Coin F
(a) Posterior probability for Coin H
(a) Posterior probability for Coin T
(b) Conditional probability for fourth flip to be heads