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070概率困难derivationmedium

Pairwise and Triple Independence Without Mutual Independence of Four Events

题目

Let Ω\Omega consist of all binary strings of length 44 with an even number of 11s, each equally likely: Ω={0000,0011,0101,0110,1001,1010,1100,1111}.\Omega = \{0000,\, 0011,\, 0101,\, 0110,\, 1001,\, 1010,\, 1100,\, 1111\}. Define events Ai={ωΩ:ωi=1}A_i = \{\omega \in \Omega : \omega_i = 1\} for i=1,2,3,4i = 1,2,3,4.

(a) Show that P(Ai)=1/2P(A_i) = 1/2 for each ii.

(b) Verify that every pair is independent: P(AiAj)=1/4P(A_i \cap A_j) = 1/4 for all iji \neq j.

(c) Verify that every triple is independent: P(AiAjAk)=1/8P(A_i \cap A_j \cap A_k) = 1/8 for all distinct i,j,ki,j,k.

(d) Compute P(A1A2A3A4)P(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3 \cap A_4) and compare with P(A1)P(A2)P(A3)P(A4)P(A_1) P(A_2) P(A_3) P(A_4). Are the four events mutually independent?

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你的答案

P(A_1 ∩ A_2 ∩ A_3 ∩ A_4)

P(A_1)P(A_2)P(A_3)P(A_4)

Are the four events mutually independent?