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Expected and Variance of Distinct Birthday Count

题目

Among nn people whose birthdays are independent and uniform on {1,,d}\{1, \ldots, d\}, let DD be the number of distinct birthdays observed.

(a) Derive E[D]E[D] using indicator random variables.

(b) Derive Var(D)\operatorname{Var}(D). You will need P(day j and day k both occupied)P(\text{day } j \text{ and day } k \text{ both occupied}) for jkj \ne k.

(c) For n=100n = 100 and d=365d = 365, compute E[D]E[D], Var(D)\operatorname{Var}(D), and the expected number of "collision people" nDn - D (people whose birthday coincides with at least one other person).

(d) Is E[nD]E[n - D] the same as the expected number of collision pairs (n2)/d\binom{n}{2}/d from the indicator-pair approach? Explain the distinction.

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a

b

c_ED

c_EnD

d