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3096统计简单derivationmedium

Tomorrow Variance After a Large Shock

题目

In a GARCH(1,1) model with ω=110\omega=\frac{1}{10}, α=15\alpha=\frac{1}{5}, and β=710\beta=\frac{7}{10}, suppose the current squared return is rt2=4r_t^2=4 and the current conditional variance is ht=2h_t=2. Compute ht+1h_{t+1}.

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