3177概率困难derivationmedium
Allocate Between Fast and Safe Books
题目
There are two possible actions. Aggressive pays 9 in the good state and -6 in the bad state. Defensive pays 5 in the good state and 1 in the bad state. The good state has prior probability . Before acting, you may see a binary signal that is correct with probability . What is the value of observing the signal, and which action should you take after a good signal and after a bad signal?
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你的答案
value
action_without_signal
action_after_good_signal
action_after_bad_signal