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3177概率困难derivationmedium

Allocate Between Fast and Safe Books

题目

There are two possible actions. Aggressive pays 9 in the good state and -6 in the bad state. Defensive pays 5 in the good state and 1 in the bad state. The good state has prior probability 12\frac{1}{2}. Before acting, you may see a binary signal that is correct with probability 34\frac{3}{4}. What is the value of observing the signal, and which action should you take after a good signal and after a bad signal?

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你的答案

value

action_without_signal

action_after_good_signal

action_after_bad_signal