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333概率中等数值题medium

Robust Law of Total Variance with a Random Number of Coin Flips

题目

You first draw NPoisson(5)N \sim \operatorname{Poisson}(5). Then, given N=nN = n, you flip a fair coin nn times and let XX be the number of heads. What is Var(X)\operatorname{Var}(X)?

Additional robustness twist: before observation, an independent random relabeling of outcome labels is applied. Compute the same target and justify invariance.

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