4148机器学习中等数值题short

Naive Bayes Posterior 3

题目

A generative regime model assigns posterior probability P(trend|x)=0.6 to the trend regime. If the next-day expected payoff is 0.015 return units in trend and -0.01 return units in mean reversion, what conditional expected payoff E[r|x] does the model imply?

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