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438概率中等数值题medium

Machine Replacements via Memoryless Minimum

题目

A factory runs 3 identical machines with independent lifetimes Exp(1)\operatorname{Exp}(1). When any machine fails, it is instantly replaced with a new identical machine. All non-failed machines continue running (their residual lifetimes remain Exp(1)\operatorname{Exp}(1) by memorylessness). Find the expected number of machine replacements in the time interval [0,10][0, 10].

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