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450概率困难multi partlong

Head Start in an Exponential Race

题目

Let XExp(λ)X \sim \operatorname{Exp}(\lambda) and YExp(μ)Y \sim \operatorname{Exp}(\mu) be independent. Player A finishes at time XX and player B finishes at time Y+cY + c where c>0c > 0 is a head start for player A (player B starts cc time units later).

(a) Derive P(X<Y+c)P(X < Y + c) — the probability that A finishes before B.

(b) Show that as c0c \to 0, the result recovers the standard competing-exponentials formula.

(c) Evaluate for λ=3\lambda = 3, μ=2\mu = 2, c=1c = 1 and interpret how the head start affects A's winning probability.

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你的答案

(a) General formula

(c) Numeric value at lam=3,mu=2,c=1