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453概率中等数值题medium

Call Center Overflow via Poisson CLT

题目

A call center receives calls according to a Poisson process with rate λ=4\lambda = 4 calls per minute. The center operates for an 88-hour shift (480480 minutes). The center can handle at most 20002000 calls per shift before service quality degrades.

Using a suitable normal approximation, estimate the probability that the total number of calls in a single shift exceeds 20002000.

You may use the following: Φ(1.83)0.9664\Phi(1.83) \approx 0.9664.

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