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458概率中等数值题short

Empirical Frequency Accuracy via the CLT

题目

A biased die shows a six with probability p=1/3p = 1/3. You roll it n=900n = 900 times independently and record p^=(number of sixes)/n\hat{p} = (\text{number of sixes})/n.

(a) State what the Law of Large Numbers guarantees about p^\hat{p} as nn \to \infty.

(b) Using the CLT, approximate P(p^1/3<0.02)P(|\hat{p} - 1/3| < 0.02).

You may use Φ(1.27)0.8980\Phi(1.27) \approx 0.8980.

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你的答案

b