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459概率中等数值题medium

Continuity Correction in the Normal Approximation

题目

Let SBin(200,0.45)S \sim \mathrm{Bin}(200, 0.45). Use the CLT with a continuity correction to approximate P(S=85)P(S = 85).

Recall that for a discrete integer-valued random variable, P(S=k)Φ ⁣(k+0.5μσ)Φ ⁣(k0.5μσ)P(S = k) \approx \Phi\!\left(\frac{k + 0.5 - \mu}{\sigma}\right) - \Phi\!\left(\frac{k - 0.5 - \mu}{\sigma}\right).

You may use: Φ(0.64)0.2611\Phi(-0.64) \approx 0.2611, Φ(0.78)0.2177\Phi(-0.78) \approx 0.2177.

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