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474概率中等数值题short

Sample Size for a Tail Probability Guarantee

题目

Let X1,X2,X_1, X_2, \ldots be i.i.d.\ Exp(1)\operatorname{Exp}(1) (mean 11, variance 11). A system designer requires that the sample mean Xˉn\bar{X}_n exceeds 1.11.1 with probability less than 1%1\%.

Using the CLT, find the smallest nn satisfying P(Xˉn>1.1)<0.01P(\bar{X}_n > 1.1) < 0.01.

You may use Φ(2.33)0.9901\Phi(2.33) \approx 0.9901.

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