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508概率中等数值题medium

Three-Outcome Random Walk to Absorption

题目

A particle moves on {5,4,,4,5}\{-5, -4, \ldots, 4, 5\} with absorbing barriers at 5-5 and 55. At each step, the particle moves +1+1 with probability p=0.3p = 0.3, stays put with probability s=0.2s = 0.2, and moves 1-1 with probability q=0.5q = 0.5. Starting from position 11, what is the probability that the particle is absorbed at +5+5?

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