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586概率简单数值题short

Weighted Offer Stop Rule 1

题目

You may inspect up to 2 independent offers. Each offer takes values 1 with probability 1/4, 4 with probability 1/2, 9 with probability 1/4. Rejecting an offer and continuing costs 1 point(s), and if you reach the last draw you must accept it. What first-round acceptance threshold is optimal, and what is the resulting expected net payoff?

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你的答案

acceptance threshold

optimal expected net payoff