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5904概率简单数值题medium

Kelly Exceeds Full Investment

题目

A favorable bet has limited downside: staking a fraction ff of wealth, you gain the full amount ff with probability p=0.7p=0.7 but lose only half the stake, 0.5f0.5f, with probability 0.30.3. (a) Find the growth-optimal fraction ff^*. (b) If you cannot borrow (so f1f\le 1, i.e. you can stake at most all your wealth), what fraction do you actually bet?

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你的答案

a

b