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5915概率困难数值题long

Timid Versus Bold to Quadruple

题目

Starting with $1\$1 you want to reach $4\$4 on an even-money game you win with probability p=0.4p=0.4, quitting when you reach $4\$4 or go broke. Compute the probability of reaching $4\$4 under (A) timid play, betting $1\$1 each round, and (B) bold play, staking min(current, 4current)\min(\text{current},\ 4-\text{current}). Which strategy gives the higher chance of reaching the goal?

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你的答案

A

B

strategy_choice