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5917概率简单derivationmedium

Free Peek Before Calling the Bigger Box

题目

Two boxes each independently contain an amount drawn uniformly from {1,2,3,4}\{1,2,3,4\}. You must guess which box holds the strictly larger amount; a correct guess pays 11 and a tie or wrong guess pays 00. Before guessing you may take a free peek at the contents of one box (your choice of which). By how much does this peek increase your probability of a correct guess compared with guessing blind?

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