← 返回数学题库
5918概率困难derivationmedium

Defective-Batch Inspection With an Imperfect Detector

题目

A batch is defective with prior probability 14\frac14. Accepting a good batch pays +20+20; accepting a defective batch pays 40-40; rejecting pays 00. Before deciding you may run a detector that flags 'defective.' It flags a truly defective batch with probability 910\frac{9}{10} and a good batch with probability 15\frac15 (false positive). What is the value of running the detector (the increase in expected payoff from using it optimally)?

解题计时

0:00

提交作答时记录,用于后续平均用时统计。

你的答案