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5921概率中等derivationmedium

Is the Analyst's Report Worth Its Fee

题目

An investment pays +14+14 if a deal closes and 10-10 if it falls through; closing has prior probability 12\frac12. You may invest or pass (pass pays 00). For a fee of 22 you may buy an analyst report that correctly predicts the outcome with probability 710\frac{7}{10}, after which you decide. Should you buy the report, and what is its value net of the no-report optimum?

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你的答案

value

buy_decision