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6040统计困难数值题medium

Two-Period Variance Ratio of an AR(1)

题目

Returns are generated by a stationary AR(1) with autoregressive coefficient 0.5. The Lo-MacKinlay variance ratio at lag 2 is VR(2) = Var(r_t + r_(t+1)) / (2 Var(r_t)). Compute VR(2) and state whether it signals momentum or mean reversion.

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你的答案

VR(2)

Signal