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5884Real-World Versus Risk-Neutral Probability On A TreeOn the same binomial tree, an analyst estimates a real-world up probability of 0.65 from historical data, while the risk-neutral up probability is 0.52. Which probability should be used to price a derivative by discounted expectation, and what governs the gap between the two?数理金融中等essay未尝试免费5885Tree Versus Black-Scholes ConvergenceA one-step CRR binomial tree prices an at-the-money one-year European call at 9.95, while the Black-Scholes value with the same spot, strike, rate and volatility is 8.43. By how much does the coarse tree overprice the option, and what single change to the tree would most directly shrink this error?数理金融中等数值题未尝试免费5886Two-Step European Call Via Terminal WeightsOn a two-step recombining tree with spot=64, strike=70, u=1.25, d=0.8, r=0, Δt=1, price the European call by weighting the three terminal payoffs with the binomial probabilities q 2, 2q(1-q), (1-q) 2.数理金融中等数值题未尝试免费