题目5965 · 概率
A Galton-Watson branching process starts with one individual. Each individual independently has 0 offspring with probability 1/4, 1 offspring with probability 1/4, and 2 offspring with probability 1/2. Let q be the extinction probability. Using that q^{Z_n} is a martingale (where
打开 →题目2824 · 概率
A branching process has offspring PGF $\phi(s)=\frac12+\frac12 s^2$. What is the extinction probability?
打开 →题目2837 · 概率
Let $Z_t$ be a branching process with immigration. Each individual in generation $t$ produces offspring with PGF $\phi(s)$, independently, and the number of immigrants arriving at the next generation has PGF $\psi(s)$, independently of everything else. Express the PGF of $Z_{t+1}
打开 →题目2924 · 概率
Suppose each individual has $0$ children with probability $1/2$ and $2$ children with probability $1/2$. What is the extinction probability?
打开 →题目2919 · 概率
Let $m>0$ be the offspring mean in a Galton-Watson process. Show that
\[
M_n=\frac{Z_n}{m^n}
\]
is a martingale with respect to the natural filtration.
打开 →题目3490 · 数学
Why can two testing systems with the same maximum branch count per question have very different identification power once branch-specific follow-up rules are imposed?
打开 →题目3470 · 数学
A first yes/no question is asked. If yes, you may then ask one ternary question followed by one binary question. If no, you may ask only one ternary question. What is the maximum number of distinguishable states?
打开 →题目2932 · 概率
In a branching process, let the offspring distribution have variance $\sigma^2$. Express
\[
\mathrm{Var}(Z_{n+1}\mid Z_n)
\]
in terms of $Z_n$.
打开 →题目2931 · 概率
A branching process starts from $10$ ancestors and has mean offspring count $m=0.8$. What is $E[Z_5]$?
打开 →题目2930 · 概率
A branching process starts from $Z_0=2$ ancestors and has mean offspring count $m=1.3$. What is $E[Z_4]$?
打开 →题目2934 · 概率
A branching process starts from one ancestor and has mean offspring count $m=1$. What is $E[Z_n]$?
打开 →题目2921 · 概率
A subcritical branching process with offspring mean $m<1$ starts from $k$ ancestors. What is the expected total progeny?
打开 →题目2822 · 概率
A Galton-Watson branching process has offspring PGF $\phi(s)=0.3+0.7s^2$. Compute the extinction probability.
打开 →题目2928 · 概率
A branching process started from one ancestor has extinction probability $q=2/3$. If it starts instead from three independent ancestors, what is the probability that at least one lineage survives forever?
打开 →题目2917 · 概率
A branching process starts from $Z_0=k$ ancestors and has offspring mean $m$. What is $E[Z_n]$?
打开 →题目2831 · 概率
Suppose a Galton-Watson branching process starts from one ancestor and has offspring PGF $\phi$ with mean $m=\phi'(1)<1$. Use the total-progeny PGF equation to derive $E[T]$.
打开 →题目2925 · 概率
Suppose every individual has at least one child almost surely. What is the extinction probability of the branching process started from one ancestor?
打开 →题目2935 · 概率
A branching process has mean offspring count $1.1$ but extinction probability $q=2/3$. Explain, in one or two sentences, why there is no contradiction between these two facts.
打开 →题目2929 · 概率
A branching process has extinction probability $q=3/7$ from one ancestor. If the process starts from five independent ancestors, what is the probability that at least one lineage survives forever?
打开 →题目2830 · 概率
Let $\phi(s)$ be the offspring PGF of a Galton-Watson branching process started from one ancestor, and let $T$ be the total progeny. Show that the PGF of $T$ satisfies
\[
G_T(s)=s\,\phi(G_T(s)).
\]
打开 →题目2933 · 概率
Let a branching process have offspring mean $m$ and variance $\sigma^2$. Show that
\[
\mathrm{Var}(Z_{n+1})=m^2\mathrm{Var}(Z_n)+\sigma^2 E[Z_n].
\]
打开 →题目2938 · 概率
Each individual has $0$ children with probability $1/2$ and $3$ children with probability $1/2$. Starting from one ancestor, compute the extinction probability.
打开 →题目2940 · 概率
A Galton-Watson process has offspring mean $m<1$. What is its extinction probability?
打开 →题目2923 · 概率
Each individual has offspring distribution
\[
P(\xi=0)=0.2,\qquad P(\xi=1)=0.5,\qquad P(\xi=2)=0.3.
\]
Starting from one ancestor, compute the extinction probability.
打开 →题目2939 · 概率
Each individual has $0$ children with probability $0.4$ and $2$ children with probability $0.6$. Compute the extinction probability.
打开 →题目2926 · 概率
Suppose each individual has one child with probability $p$ and zero children with probability $1-p$. What is the extinction probability?
打开 →题目2922 · 概率
Each individual has $0$ children with probability $0.3$ and $2$ children with probability $0.7$. Starting from one ancestor, compute the extinction probability.
打开 →题目2920 · 概率
A Galton-Watson process starts from one ancestor and has offspring mean $m<1$. Let
\[
T=\sum_{n\ge 0} Z_n
\]
be the total progeny. Compute $E[T]$.
打开 →题目2936 · 概率
If the extinction probability from one ancestor is $q$, what is the extinction probability from $k$ independent ancestors?
打开 →题目2937 · 概率
Suppose each individual has one child with probability $p$ and two children with probability $1-p$. What is the extinction probability?
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