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中文题目
题目5965 · 概率

Branching Process Extinction Probability

A Galton-Watson branching process starts with one individual. Each individual independently has 0 offspring with probability 1/4, 1 offspring with probability 1/4, and 2 offspring with probability 1/2. Let q be the extinction probability. Using that q^{Z_n} is a martingale (where

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题目2837 · 概率

Immigration Plus Branching in One Step

Let $Z_t$ be a branching process with immigration. Each individual in generation $t$ produces offspring with PGF $\phi(s)$, independently, and the number of immigrants arriving at the next generation has PGF $\psi(s)$, independently of everything else. Express the PGF of $Z_{t+1}

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题目2924 · 概率

Critical 0-or-2 Branching

Suppose each individual has $0$ children with probability $1/2$ and $2$ children with probability $1/2$. What is the extinction probability?

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题目2919 · 概率

The Standard Branching Martingale

Let $m>0$ be the offspring mean in a Galton-Watson process. Show that \[ M_n=\frac{Z_n}{m^n} \] is a martingale with respect to the natural filtration.

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题目2928 · 概率

Extinction from Three Independent Founders

A branching process started from one ancestor has extinction probability $q=2/3$. If it starts instead from three independent ancestors, what is the probability that at least one lineage survives forever?

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题目2929 · 概率

Survival from Five Founders

A branching process has extinction probability $q=3/7$ from one ancestor. If the process starts from five independent ancestors, what is the probability that at least one lineage survives forever?

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题目2830 · 概率

Total Progeny PGF Equation

Let $\phi(s)$ be the offspring PGF of a Galton-Watson branching process started from one ancestor, and let $T$ be the total progeny. Show that the PGF of $T$ satisfies \[ G_T(s)=s\,\phi(G_T(s)). \]

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题目2923 · 概率

Another Exact Extinction Root

Each individual has offspring distribution \[ P(\xi=0)=0.2,\qquad P(\xi=1)=0.5,\qquad P(\xi=2)=0.3. \] Starting from one ancestor, compute the extinction probability.

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