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中文题目
题目1966 · 数学

Balanced Softplus Tradeoff 21

The linear reward and saturation penalty balance exactly at a central point. The desk maximizes K(x) = 2 x - 4 ln(1+e^x). What x is optimal?

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题目2634 · 机器学习

Batch-Average Gradient 9

If the minibatch loss is the average L = (1/B) sum_{i=1}^B L_i, derive dL/dw in terms of the per-example gradients.

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题目5899 · 概率

Betting Kelly on the Wrong Probability

An even-money coin truly wins with probability $p=0.55$, but you overestimate it as $\hat p=0.65$ and bet the Kelly fraction implied by your estimate. What is your actual long-run expected log-growth rate per round? Compare it to the growth you would have earned betting the corre

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题目1951 · 数学

Bid-Ask Skew Balance 6

On one quote axis, the maker gets more value from aggressive bids than from aggressive offers. A market maker chooses a skew x in (-1,1) to maximize G(x) = 5 ln(1+x) + 3 ln(1-x). What skew is optimal?

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题目2675 · 机器学习

Break-Even Hit Rate After Trading Costs

A directional model earns +1 unit on a correct trade and -1 unit on an incorrect trade before costs. Each round trip also pays a cost of 0.08 units regardless of outcome. What hit rate $p$ makes expected net PnL zero?

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题目5955 · 概率

Buy Random or Buy the Missing One

You need all 5 types and currently hold 4 distinct types (exactly one type missing). Each round you may either (a) buy a random coupon for $1 (uniform over all 5 types), or (b) directly buy your missing type from a reseller for $5. Acting optimally to minimize expected total futu

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题目5903 · 概率

Capping the Single-Bet Drawdown

You bet a fraction $f$ of wealth on an even-money coin with win probability $p=0.65$, but a risk rule forbids any single losing bet from cutting your wealth by more than $20\%$. What fraction should you bet, and for which win probabilities $p$ does this drawdown rule actually con

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题目5898 · 概率

Continuous Kelly for Normal Returns

Each round you allocate a fraction $f$ of wealth to a position whose one-period return $R$ is approximately normal with small mean $\mu>0$ and variance $\sigma^2$ (with $\mu^2\ll\sigma^2$), so post-round wealth is multiplied by $1+fR$. Using a second-order expansion of the log, d

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题目4448 · 机器学习

Correlation Shock Benefit 8

An equal-weight composite combines two standardized signals. If their correlation drops from 0.6 to 0.2, by how much does the composite standard deviation fall?

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