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4337Why RNN Still MattersWhy might an RNN still be the practical choice for a production event-stream model even if Transformers benchmark better offline?机器学习中等essay未尝试面试订阅4338When Attention Earns Its CostWhat kind of task structure makes the quadratic cost of attention worth paying?机器学习中等essay未尝试面试订阅4339Why Architecture Mismatch HurtsWhy can architecture mismatch dominate parameter count when performance is poor?机器学习中等essay未尝试面试订阅4340Hybrid Versus PureWhen is it more sensible to consider a hybrid architecture instead of insisting on a pure CNN, pure RNN, or pure Transformer?机器学习中等essay未尝试面试订阅5894Kelly Fraction at General Net OddsA favorable bet pays net odds b to 1: staking an amount, you gain b times the stake with probability p and lose the stake with probability 1-p. Betting a fraction f of wealth each round, derive the growth-optimal fraction f * in terms of b and p.概率简单derivation未尝试免费5899Betting Kelly on the Wrong ProbabilityAn even-money coin truly wins with probability p=0.55, but you overestimate it as p=0.65 and bet the Kelly fraction implied by your estimate. What is your actual long-run expected log-growth rate per round? Compare it to the growth you would have earned betting the correct Kelly fraction, and state what the sign of your actual growth implies.概率困难数值题未尝试面试订阅5903Capping the Single-Bet DrawdownYou bet a fraction f of wealth on an even-money coin with win probability p=0.65, but a risk rule forbids any single losing bet from cutting your wealth by more than 20\%. What fraction should you bet, and for which win probabilities p does this drawdown rule actually constrain you below the Kelly fraction?概率简单数值题未尝试免费5904Kelly Exceeds Full InvestmentA favorable bet has limited downside: staking a fraction f of wealth, you gain the full amount f with probability p=0.7 but lose only half the stake, 0.5f, with probability 0.3. (a) Find the growth-optimal fraction f *. (b) If you cannot borrow (so f\le 1, i.e. you can stake at most all your wealth), what fraction do you actually bet?概率简单数值题未尝试免费5905Kelly with a Cash-Reserve FloorYou may stake on an even-money coin with win probability p=0.8, but a liquidity rule requires you to keep at least half your total wealth in untouched cash at all times, so the staked fraction satisfies f\le 0.5. Set up the constrained maximization of expected log-growth, use the KKT conditions to determine the optimal stake, and state whether the reserve constraint binds.概率困难数值题未尝试面试订阅5909Bold Play to a Quadrupling GoalYou have \2 and want to reach \8 on an even-money game you win with probability p=0.4. You use bold play: each round you stake the most that keeps you from overshooting the goal, i.e. \min( current wealth ,\ 8- current wealth ). What is the probability bold play reaches the \8 goal?概率中等数值题未尝试免费5912All-In or Split the Stake to Double UpYou have \1 and want to double it to \2 on a subfair even-money bet that wins with probability p=0.45 (and you quit forever once you either reach \2 or hit \0). Compare two plans: (A) bet the whole \1 in one shot; (B) bet \0.50 each round until you reach \2 or go broke. Which gives the higher probability of doubling, and what are the two probabilities?概率困难数值题未尝试面试订阅5914Red-and-Black Bold Play from Three-QuartersIn red-and-black you bet on an even-money outcome that comes up with probability p=0.4, scaling all amounts so the goal is \1. You currently hold \0.75 and use bold play: stake \min( current ,\ 1- current ) each round, trying to reach \1 before reaching \0. What is the probability bold play reaches the goal?概率中等数值题未尝试面试订阅5915Timid Versus Bold to QuadrupleStarting with \1 you want to reach \4 on an even-money game you win with probability p=0.4, quitting when you reach \4 or go broke. Compute the probability of reaching \4 under (A) timid play, betting \1 each round, and (B) bold play, staking \min( current ,\ 4- current ). Which strategy gives the higher chance of reaching the goal?概率困难数值题未尝试面试订阅