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中文题目
题目6037 · 统计

Random-Walk Risk Scaling Over a Horizon

A price follows a driftless random walk whose daily increments are iid with standard deviation 2 bp. By what multiple does the standard deviation of the cumulative move grow when the horizon increases from 1 day to 9 days?

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题目3072 · 统计

Random-Walk Value Filter Step

Suppose $x_t=x_{t-1}+w_t$ with $w_t\sim N(0,1)$, and $y_t=x_t+v_t$ with $v_t\sim N(0,4)$. At time $t-1$ the filtered state is $N(-2,5)$. You observe $y_t=0$. Compute the predicted mean/variance and the updated mean/variance at time $t$.

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题目548 · 概率

Commute Time Between Endpoints of a Path

Consider the path graph $P_n$ with vertices $\{0, 1, \ldots, n-1\}$ and $n-1$ edges (each of unit resistance), where the walk at interior vertices moves left or right with equal probability, and at the endpoints moves to the unique neighbor. (a) Compute the effective resistance

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题目539 · 概率

Cover Time of the Complete Graph K₄

A simple random walk moves on the complete graph $K_4$. At each step, the walker moves to one of the $3$ neighbors uniformly at random. (a) Compute the maximum hitting time $t_{\mathrm{hit}} = \max_{u,v} h(u \to v)$. (b) Using Matthews' theorem, which gives $$t_{\mathrm{hit}} \

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题目531 · 概率

Cover Time of the Path Graph P₃

A random walk moves on the path graph $P_3$ with vertices $\{1, 2, 3\}$ and edges $\{1{-}2, 2{-}3\}$. At each step, the walker moves to a uniformly random neighbor (so from vertex $2$ it goes to $1$ or $3$ each with probability $\tfrac{1}{2}$, and from vertex $1$ or $3$ it moves

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题目535 · 概率

Effective Resistance and Commute Time on K₂,₃

Consider the complete bipartite graph $K_{2,3}$ with parts $A = \{a_1, a_2\}$ (each of degree $3$) and $B = \{b_1, b_2, b_3\}$ (each of degree $2$). Each edge has unit resistance. (a) Compute the effective resistance $R_{\mathrm{eff}}(a_1, a_2)$ between the two vertices of part

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题目540 · 概率

Effective Resistance and Commute Time on the 4-Cycle

Consider the cycle graph $C_4$ with vertices $\{0,1,2,3\}$ arranged in a square, and each edge having unit resistance. (a) Compute the effective resistance $R_{\mathrm{eff}}(0, 2)$ between the two diagonally opposite vertices. (b) Using the commute-time identity $C(u,v) = 2m \c

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题目530 · 概率

Effective Resistance and Commute Time on the Hypercube Q₃

Consider the $3$-dimensional hypercube graph $Q_3$ (vertices are binary strings of length $3$; edges connect strings differing in exactly one bit). Each edge has unit resistance. (a) Using the symmetry of $Q_3$, compute the effective resistance $R_{\mathrm{eff}}(000, 111)$ betwe

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题目550 · 概率

Expected Cover Time of the Cycle C₆

A simple random walk moves on the cycle graph $C_6$ (vertices $0, 1, \ldots, 5$). At each step, the walker moves clockwise or counterclockwise with equal probability. Starting at vertex $0$, what is the expected number of steps to visit all $6$ vertices (the expected cover time)?

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题目536 · 概率

Expected Return Time on the Complete Graph K₄

A simple random walk moves on the complete graph $K_4$ (four vertices, every pair connected). At each step, the walker moves to one of the $3$ neighbors chosen uniformly at random. Starting at a vertex $v$, what is the expected number of steps to return to $v$ for the first time?

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题目537 · 概率

Hitting Time Between Leaves on the Star Graph S₅

The star graph $S_5$ has a central hub vertex $c$ connected to $4$ leaf vertices $\{\ell_1, \ell_2, \ell_3, \ell_4\}$. A simple random walk at each step moves to a uniformly random neighbor: from the hub, it goes to each leaf with probability $\tfrac{1}{4}$; from any leaf, it goe

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题目534 · 概率

Hitting Time from Leaf to Root on a Complete Ternary Tree

Consider the complete ternary tree of depth $2$: a root vertex $r$ with $3$ children, each of which has $3$ children (leaves), giving $13$ vertices total. A simple random walk moves at each step to a uniformly random neighbor. Starting from a leaf vertex, what is the expected num

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题目547 · 概率

Hitting Time on K₄ Minus One Edge

Take the complete graph $K_4$ on vertices $\{1,2,3,4\}$ and remove edge $\{1,4\}$. The resulting graph has $5$ edges, with $d(1)=d(4)=2$ and $d(2)=d(3)=3$. A simple random walk moves at each step to a uniformly random neighbor. Starting from vertex $2$, what is the expected numbe

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题目528 · 概率

Hitting Time on the 3-Dimensional Hypercube

A random walk moves on the $3$-dimensional hypercube graph $Q_3$: the $8$ vertices are binary strings of length $3$, and two vertices are adjacent if they differ in exactly one coordinate. At each step, the walker picks one of the $3$ coordinates uniformly at random and flips it.

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题目529 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Complete Bipartite Graph K₃,₃

Consider the complete bipartite graph $K_{3,3}$ with parts $A = \{a_1, a_2, a_3\}$ and $B = \{b_1, b_2, b_3\}$, where every vertex in $A$ is connected to every vertex in $B$ and vice versa (no edges within a part). A random walk at any vertex moves to each of its $3$ neighbors wi

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题目526 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Complete Graph K₅

A random walk moves on the complete graph $K_5$ (five vertices, every pair connected). At each step, the walker moves to one of the $4$ neighbors chosen uniformly at random. Starting from vertex $u$, what is the expected number of steps to reach a specified vertex $v \neq u$ for

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题目544 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Diamond Graph

Take the complete graph $K_4$ on vertices $\{A, B, C, D\}$ and remove edge $A{-}D$, leaving $5$ edges (the "diamond" or "kite" graph). The resulting degrees are $d(A) = d(D) = 2$ and $d(B) = d(C) = 3$. A simple random walk moves at each step to a uniformly random neighbor. (a) S

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题目543 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Ladder Graph (2×3 Grid)

Consider the $2 \times 3$ grid graph (ladder graph) with vertices arranged as: $$\begin{matrix} 1 & - & 2 & - & 3 \\ | & & | & & | \\ 4 & - & 5 & - & 6 \end{matrix}$$ Edges connect horizontal and vertical neighbors. A simple random walk moves at each step to a uniformly random ne

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题目546 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Path Graph P₅

A simple random walk moves on the path graph $P_5$ with vertices $\{0,1,2,3,4\}$ and edges connecting consecutive vertices. At the interior vertices ($1, 2, 3$), the walker moves left or right with equal probability $\tfrac{1}{2}$. At the endpoints ($0$ and $4$), the walker moves

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题目532 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Petersen Graph

The Petersen graph has $10$ vertices and $15$ edges; it is $3$-regular, vertex-transitive, and has diameter $2$ (every pair of non-adjacent vertices has exactly one common neighbor, and the graph has girth $5$). A random walk at each step moves to one of the $3$ neighbors uniform

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题目542 · 概率

Hitting Time on the Wheel Graph W₆

The wheel graph $W_6$ consists of a central hub $h$ connected to all $5$ vertices of a cycle $C_5$ (so $h$ has degree $5$ and each rim vertex has degree $3$: two cycle neighbors and the hub). A simple random walk moves at each step to a uniformly random neighbor. Starting from a

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题目527 · 概率

Hitting Time to the Antipodal Vertex on a Cycle

A simple random walk moves on the cycle graph $C_8$ (vertices $0, 1, \ldots, 7$ arranged in a circle). At each step, the walker moves clockwise or counterclockwise with equal probability $\tfrac{1}{2}$. Starting at vertex $0$, what is the expected number of steps to reach the ant

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题目545 · 概率

Mixing Time of the Lazy Random Walk on Kₙ

Consider the lazy random walk on the complete graph $K_n$: at each step, the walker stays put with probability $\tfrac{1}{2}$ and moves to a uniformly random neighbor with probability $\tfrac{1}{2}$. (a) Show that the transition matrix has two distinct eigenvalues: $\lambda_0 =

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题目533 · 概率

Spectral Gap and Mixing Time of the Lazy Walk on a Cycle

Consider the lazy random walk on the cycle graph $C_n$: at each step, the walker stays put with probability $\tfrac{1}{2}$, and moves to each of the two neighbors with probability $\tfrac{1}{4}$. The transition matrix has eigenvalues $\lambda_k = \tfrac{1}{2}(1 + \cos(2\pi k / n)

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题目541 · 概率

Stationary Distribution and Return Times on a Small Graph

Consider the graph $G$ on four vertices $\{A, B, C, D\}$ with edges $\{A{-}B,\, A{-}C,\, A{-}D,\, B{-}C\}$, so the degree sequence is $d(A)=3$, $d(B)=2$, $d(C)=2$, $d(D)=1$. A simple random walk moves at each step to a uniformly random neighbor. (a) Find the stationary distribut

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题目1856 · 统计

Horizon Risk Budget Ratio 1

A stationary mean-reverting spread obeys X_(t+1) = 1/2 X_t + epsilon_(t+1), where Var(epsilon_(t+1)) = 4. Starting from the current level, what fraction of the same-horizon random-walk forecast-error variance does the 4-step mean-reverting forecast-error variance represent?

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